How much is a Queen worth in cards
“The world is full of kings and queens, ” once sang Black Sabbath, “who blind your eyes and steal your dreams.”
The song — the title track from their 1980 album Heaven and Hell — might well apply to the situation of being dealt or in no-limit hold’em, hands which can sometimes blind us from playing sound strategy, and steal our dreams, too, especially when a higher card falls on the flop.
If you listen to some players, the chance of an higher card hitting the flop when they hold or is 100%. But in truth it does happen fairly frequently — enough that it is definitely worth being prepared for how to proceed when it does. When holding , there’s just over a 22% chance an ace will come on the flop. When holding , there’s a better than 41% chance an ace or a king will flop.
But all is not necessarily lost when those higher cards fall.
Continuation Betting Despite the Higher Card
Let’s assume you raised before the flop with your premium pair — as you usually should do — and you find yourself up against one or two opponents going to the flop when that higher card hits. What next?
Some players immediately grow timid at the sight of the higher card and if checked to will check behind. Don’t become passive and/or give up on your if an ace appears on the flop. There will be times when your opponent isn’t going to like the sight of that ace, either, and will see your c-bet as indicating you’ve hit the flop by pairing a big ace and fold to your bet.
However, if you bet and are called — or raised — that’s when you will need to take other factors into consideration when deciding how to proceed.
Using Caution
Say you raise from middle position with , only the big blind calls you, the flop comes , and your opponent check-calls your continuation bet. In this hand you’ve now seen your opponent perform two actions — calling your preflop raise from out of position, then calling your c-bet — that should help you narrow his or her range of possible hands.
Obviously there are many hands among your opponent’s possible holdings. So, too, might be hands like or that give your opponent straight draws, hands with two clubs that provide a flush draw, lower pocket pairs (including jacks or eights), among other possibilities.
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